The Pittsburgh Pirates (51-70) and the Milwaukee Brewers (75-44) wrap up a 3-game series Wednesday afternoon at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the Pirates vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 6-3
Pittsburgh has dropped 4 straight games, including a 14-0 loss at Milwaukee Tuesday, failing to cash as a +121 underdog. The Pirates managed just 4 hits.
Milwaukee has won 11 in a row and 14 of its last 15, including Tuesday’s victory as a -132 favorite. 1B Andrew Vaughn and DH Christian Yelich each drove in 3 runs, while 7 Brewers had at least 1 RBI and 5 had 2 or more.
Pirates at Brewers projected starters
RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Brandon Woodruff
Keller (5-10, 3.86 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 137 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 3-2 home victory vs. Cincinnati Reds Friday
- Career vs. Brewers: 1-5, 4.99 ERA (52 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.49 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 in 10 starts
Woodruff (4-0, 2.29 ERA) makes his seventh start. He has a 0.65 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 35 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 3-2 home victory vs. New York Mets Friday
- Career vs. Pirates: 7-3, 3.40 ERA (87 1/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 in 17 games (15 starts)
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Pirates at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:53 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pirates +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Brewers -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-110) | Brewers -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Pirates at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 6, Pirates 3
Moneyline
PASS.
There is no value on the Brewers (-220), who have won 11 straight games overall and 4 consecutive meetings with the Pirates.
Run line/Against the spread
BET BREWERS -1.5 (-110).
Seven of Milwaukee’s last 10 wins have come by at least 2 runs, including back-to-back victories against the Pirates. It has scored at least 7 runs in each of its last 4 games and in 7 of its last 10.
The Pirates have been held to 1 run in the series so far and have scored 3 or fewer in 6 of their last 8 games.
Woodruff has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in each of his last 5 starts, while Keller has given up 3 or more in 3 of his last 4.
Over/Under
BET OVER 7.5 (-110).
The Brewers offense is too hot to consider the Under, even against the Pirates. It has scored 35 runs in its last 4 games and at least 5 runs in 8 of its last 10.
While Milwaukee will do most of the damage, a few runs from the road team should be enough to cash this bet.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions
Reporting by Seth Orlemann, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire
USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect