The Politics, and Geopolitics, of AI

Few political leaders realize the rate at which artificial intelligence is racing ahead.

For decades, technological progress has been logged at a pace known as “Moore's Law,” named after Gordon Moore, the co-founder of Intel who observed that the number of transistors on a microchip doubles approximately every 18 to 24 months.

Now, we are approaching “Nadella’s Law.” “Just like Moore’s Law, we saw the doubling in performance every 18 months with AI. We have now started to see that doubling every six months or so,” said Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft at the company’s annual Ignite conference in 2024.

As a result of this disruptive velocity, two significant consequences are on the immediate horizon

One is that we are quickly approaching a world in which AI agents can autonomously prod