Recent tensions in Canada-U.S. relations have led to a significant decline in Canadian approval of American leadership. A Gallup survey conducted in May and June revealed that only 15% of Canadians currently approve of the U.S. government, a figure reminiscent of sentiments during Donald Trump's first presidency.

Canadian opinions on U.S. leadership have varied over the years, closely tied to the occupant of the White House. Under Barack Obama, approval averaged 61%. This dropped to 19% during Trump's first term and rose to 41% under Joe Biden. Since 2017, approval ratings have remained low, with only a brief increase in 2021.

The latest decline in approval coincides with ongoing diplomatic and trade disputes. Since his return to the presidency, Trump has imposed high tariffs and made comments suggesting Canada should consider becoming the "51st state."

In a broader context, Gallup's World Poll assessed perceptions of four global powers. Germany received the highest approval from Canadians, with 54% expressing positive views. Interestingly, approval for China stands at 23%, which is higher than the approval for the U.S. This marks an increase of eight points from the previous year. Currently, 79% of Canadians disapprove of U.S. leadership, a figure that is close to the 82% disapproval rating for Russia.

In contrast, Canadians' views of their own leadership have improved significantly, rising 19 points to 59% following Mark Carney's election as Liberal party leader and prime minister in March. Carney's leadership comes after Justin Trudeau's approval ratings fell from 64% in 2016 to a low of 40% in 2024.

Despite the improved perception of their leadership, Canadians are increasingly pessimistic about the economy. Optimism about local economic conditions has dropped to a new low in 2025, with only 27% believing their economy is improving, while 63% feel it is worsening. The percentage of Canadians who think it is a good time to find a job has plummeted from 74% in 2022 to just 32% in 2025, marking the lowest job optimism since the COVID-19 pandemic began in 2020 and the 2009 financial crisis.

The housing affordability crisis continues to be a pressing issue, with only one in four adults satisfied with the availability of affordable housing. A staggering 72% express dissatisfaction with the current housing market.

The weak economic sentiment presents a challenge for Carney, as maintaining public support may hinge on his administration's ability to improve economic optimism and manage the complex relationship with the United States.