A new poll of Virginians who say they’re likely to vote this year shows Democrat Abigail Spanberger with a definitive lead over Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears, the Republican nominee for governor.

But voters’ preferences for lieutenant governor and attorney general are within the poll’s margin of error, which means it can’t say any candidate has a definitive lead at this point.

The new Roanoke College poll shows Spanberger winning the support of 46% of likely voters with 39% favoring Earle-Sears, while 14% say they’re undecided.

The sample of 602 voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.39 percentage points, which suggests Spanberger’s current margin of support is somewhere between 11 and three percentage points.

The split is far narrower and a larger percentage of voters say they

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