It's that time of year again -- time to see which big leaguers have most exceeded expectations in 2025.

There's more than one way to do that, but for our yearly bird's-eye view, we turn to ZiPS , the projection system created by FanGraphs' Dan Szymborski, to compare every player's projected fWAR to their actual fWAR. ZiPS, which takes into consideration recent performance, aging curves, injuries and play-by-play data, turns out some of the most accurate preseason projections on offer. So when it "misses," so to speak, it does get our attention.

Granted, a player who overshoots his projected fWAR isn't always a shocking breakout star. Sometimes the explanation is less exciting. Most often, those are situations in which a player just doesn't have much data to work with over the period of

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