Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend that’s driving politics.

In some ways, it feels ridiculous to be already gaming out 2028. We haven’t even hit the 2026 midterms yet—an election that could dramatically reshape which Democrats look viable in the first place. But that hasn’t stopped people from speculating. And if you look at the numbers, a name that keeps creeping up is California Gov. Gavin Newsom.

Back in February, Echelon Insights—a Republican polling outfit—asked likely Democratic voters who they’d support if the 2028 primary were happening right now. Former Vice President Kamala Harris led comfortably with 36%. Newsom? He was a blip in fourth place, barely pulling 6%.

Fast-

See Full Page