It’s training camp and subsequently, fantasy hockey season. This article is a point projection for Erik Karlsson in the 2025-26 season. Few players are capable of sparking debate in this realm like Karlsson, a star defenceman whose offensive ceiling remain elite even if his overall game has trended downwards. Entering his third full season with the Pittsburgh Penguins, Karlsson carries a high-risk, high-reward profile. Our projection model, looking at age curve, team context, games played and points-per-game rates.

Karlsson's Point Projection

Age Curve and Team Context

At 35 years old, Erik Karlsson falls into a mid-decline range for offensive defenceman. As such, the model applies a 0.93 age modifier, reflecting a 7% reduction from peak production. It’s a drop-off seen with forwards an

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