Nassourdine Imavov (blue gloves) fights Jared Cannonier (red) in a middleweight bout at UFC on ESPN 57 in Louisville, Kentucky.

In a 5-round middleweight bout in the main event, Nassourdine Imavov and Caio Borralho meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 258 -- also known as UFC on ESPN+ 116 -- at Accor Arena in Paris, France (ESPN+). The prelims begin at noon ET, followed by the main card at 3 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's UFC odds around the UFC Fight Night 258: Imavov vs. Borralho odds, and make our expert UFC picks and predictions.

Records: Imavov (16-4-0) | Borralho (17-1-0)

The 29-year-old Imavov will be the home country favorite since he has lived in France since his family moved from Russia when he was 9. The crowd at Accor Arena will certainly be on his side, providing a home-field advantage of sorts. He enters on a 4-fight win streak. His last bout was Feb. 1 when he claimed a Round-2 KO/TKO of former champ Israel Adesanya, positioning himself for a possible title shot. The streak also includes impressive victories over Brendan Allen (unanimous decision last September), Jared Cannonier (KO/TKO in June 2024) and Roman Dolidze (majority decision in February 2024).

Borralho, fighting for Team Fighting Nerds, is unbeaten in 7 fights since making his UFC debut against Gadzhi Omargadzhiev April 16, 2022. He posted a unanimous-decision win over Cannonier last time out (August 2024), and he has 14 consecutive wins across all competitions. Borralho has gone the distance in 5 of his past 7 fights, too, while Imavov has gone the distance in 2 of the past 4 fights, and 4 of the previous 7 bouts.

Both fighters have a 75-inch reach, with Imavov holding a 4.45-to-3.61 significant-strikes-landed-per-minute advantage. Borralho is slightly more accurate on those strikes at 66.21%, while posting a 1.56-takedown average and a 60.0% takedown-accuracy percentage. Imavov has an impressive 1.14 submission average, to 0.52 for the Brazilian fighter.

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UFC Fight Night 258: Imavov vs. Borralho odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:57 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Imavov +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Borralho -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Total rounds: 4.5 rounds (Over -200 | Under +150)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -175 | No +125)

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UFC Fight Night 258: Imavov vs. Borralho picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

IMAVOV (+110) is worth a look as a slight underdog as he should be able to feed off the home crowd spurring him on.

Borralho is a punching machine. He is accurate with his strikes, but Imavov has plenty of punching power himself, recording 4 KO/TKO wins in his past 9 fights. Both of these fighters can do good work on the ground, too, but we're more than likely going to see a toe-to-toe brawl.

Let's also back IMAVOV VIA KO/TKO OR DQ (+400) for a chance to multiply up by 4 times.

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Over/Under

UNDER 4.5 ROUNDS (+150) is worth a look at plus-money.

Imavov has gone the distance just once in the past 3 bouts, and twice in his previous 5 outings.

Borralho has 2 finishes in the past 4 outings but as mentioned, has gone the distance 5 times in the past 7. That's why the odds here make the Under such a good value at plus-money.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: UFC Fight Night 258: Nassourdine Imavov vs. Caio Borralho odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Daniel Dobish, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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