ST. LOUIS — A Republican plan to redraw Missouri's eight congressional districts likely would cement GOP control of seven of those districts, while only slightly elevating the party's risk in future elections, according to experts who reviewed a Post-Dispatch analysis.
If the proposed boundaries had been in place for the 2020 presidential election, Republicans would have secured double-digit margins of victory in seven of the eight districts, the newspaper found.
"If the goal is to create seven safely Republican districts, mission accomplished," said David Kimball, chair of political science at the University of Missouri-St. Louis.
If the new map becomes law, Democrats would be unlikely to flip any seats in future elections unless there was "a national Democratic landslide," he said.