Make America Great Again hat in support of Donald Trump at a rally at Veterans Memorial Coliseum at the Arizona State Fairgrounds in Phoenix, Arizona. // Gage Skidmore

Signs of trouble for President Donald Trump have emerged in Bucks County, Pennsylvania, a swing county he won by just 291 votes in 2024, when the state shifted to the right.

That win was the first for a Republican presidential candidate in the Philadelphia suburb since George H.W. Bush.

A new poll shared with Politico says the president's popularity is "taking a nosedive" in the county, noting "Democrats are staking out a lead in local elections."

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According to the poll conducted by Democratic firm Upswing Research & Strategy, fifty-three percent of likely voters in Bucks County view Trump unfavorably, compared to 42 percent who see him favorably.

That approval rating is down from last September when the same pollster found that 50 percent of likely voters in Bucks County viewed the president unfavorably and 45 percent saw him favorably.

The poll also shows support for Democrats, including D.A. candidate Joe Khan, who leads Republican incumbent Jennifer Schorn in the survey 49 percent to 43 percent, and Danny Ceisler, the Democratic contender for sheriff, who is ahead of GOP incumbent Fred Harran 48 percent to 43 percent.

"It’s clear that there is some backlash against Trump and MAGA Republicans generally,” Ethan Smith, a founding partner at Upswing Research & Strategy, tells Politico.

“The survey also shows that we’re probably entering a period of Democratic enthusiasm," the firm adds. "We can tell just based on response rates that Democrats are really eager to participate in the election.”

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