See when Polymarket and Kalshi think the government shutdown will end

It’s the first day of the U.S. government partial shutdown , but how long will it last? A few days? A few weeks? While only Capitol Hill and the White House can answer that question, that’s not stopping people from placing bets on future events.

Polymarket and Kalshi have opened markets on the duration of the standoff, with users anticipating a long-term shutdown of the federal government.

While the Republicans control both the House of Representatives and the Senate, they need at least seven Democratic votes to pass any spending bill out of the Senate, where 60 votes are required to advance most legislation in the 100-seat chamber.

Democrats are using that leverage to push for the continuation and expansion of tax breaks for about 24 million Americans who buy insurance through the