Will as many people as last year come to Tory conference? I have a leak that helps explore this - and it reveals the party itself is expecting fewer.

Normally you don't get any detailed breakdowns of conference data - who is coming and in what category.

But I've been shared an early cut of the numbers from this year. What you can see above is a screenshot of the data sent to the party board.

I am told this table is from 11 August and shows the then-current attendance figures which were sent to the Conservative Party board. They revealed numbers due to be coming to Manchester this week, lagging on last year.

You can see that at that stage, there are more than 1,000 fewer members due to come to conference than had been listed in early August 2024.

Image: Supporters at this year's Tory

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