Finance Minister François Philippe Champagne announced a significant change to the federal budget schedule, moving the main budget presentation to November. This shift aims to modernize Ottawa's fiscal cycle and enhance budgeting predictability for provinces. Champagne stated that aligning the budget with the construction season will facilitate quicker project starts.
In addition to the timing change, the government will implement a two-ledger accounting system. This system will separate capital expenditures from operational costs. Capital investments will be categorized into six areas: transfers, corporate income tax incentives focused on capital, amortization of federal capital, private sector research and development, support for large-scale private sector investments, and increases to housing stock.
Champagne emphasized that this approach is not limited to major projects but also includes various subsidies and corporate support. The two-ledger system allows the government to label expenditures as "investments," which may present a more favorable image than simply referring to them as spending. For example, projects like new roads, housing, and the controversial $40 billion Transmountain pipeline expansion will be classified under capital investments, despite concerns about their long-term financial viability.
Operational spending will continue to cover day-to-day expenses, including transfers to individuals, health and social services, and government employee salaries. The overall deficit is projected to exceed $80 billion, although the government is expected to present this figure in a way that appears less alarming to taxpayers.
Champagne faces a challenge in balancing austerity with investment, as he has committed to a 15% reduction in departmental spending while also pursuing major projects. Critics warn that this could lead to a persistent deficit disguised as nation-building.
The timing change aligns with OECD best practices, which suggest that budgets should be presented within a few months of the fiscal year-end. However, it also serves a political purpose for the minority Liberal government. The November budget allows the government to avoid delivering a spring budget after the recent snap election, effectively creating a "new normal" in budgeting.
This shift also benefits the government by pushing the pre-budget consultation period into the summer, a time when Parliament is not in session and many Canadians are on vacation. This could limit scrutiny from both politicians and the media. Additionally, with most provinces, except Nova Scotia, having fixed election dates in October, opposition parties may hesitate to challenge the budget due to potential voter fatigue from recent provincial elections.
The federal election date also falls in the third week of October, meaning the November budget may not be passed if the government is not re-elected. A new Conservative government would likely revert to a spring budget schedule, similar to the previous practice.
While the fall budget may streamline planning for some, it raises concerns about transparency and accountability for taxpayers. Canadians may find themselves facing a more polished budget process, a less clear understanding of the deficit, and a calendar that favors the ruling party, all while the definition of spending continues to evolve.