President Donald Trump announced a deal that aims to bring an end to the brutal war between Israel and Hamas . If it holds, brokering the agreement that leads to a lasting cease-fire and the return of all Israeli hostages could be one of the biggest accomplishments of his presidency.

On the surface, this certainly sounds like the kind of thing that could win a president the Nobel Peace Prize. And as it happens, the 2025 prize will be announced on Friday. So is this finally his time?

While a win is not totally out of the realm of possibility, the reality is more complicated. Trump has been openly and aggressively campaigning for the prize since his first term, which is unprecedented. His obvious desperation — paired with his foreign policy and authoritarian tendencies — may have actual

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