It's Tarik Skubal and the Tigers vs. Cal Raleigh and the Mariners tonight for all the marbles in Game 5 of the American League Division Series.

Facing Skubal in a winner-take-all postseason game is daunting. But the Mariners have been his kryptonite. They've won all three times they've faced the Detroit ace in 2025, including Game 2 of the ALDS .

Can Seattle's lineup find a way to do the improbable and get to Skubal for a fourth time in a single year, or will Skubal be lights-out with an American League Championship Series berth on the line?

Here are three keys that will decide whether Skubal wins Game 5, or the Mariners do:

1) Can the Mariners keep punishing Skubal's (few) mistakes?

The simplest reason the Mariners have been able to beat Skubal is: They've hit home runs off

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