While models last weekend highlighted the potential for a system south of the Great Lakes, there was some uncertainty about just how far north the low would drift north.

Well, as it turns out, it didn't go as far north as one scenario predicted, allowing for southern Ontario to avoid a Thanksgiving disruption this year.

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Southern Ontario is caught between two storm tracks, forcing the jet stream to arc across northern Quebec.

[Ontario pressure pattern Monday morning] Ontario pressure pattern Monday morning

If either one of those systems pushed just a bit farther north or if an Atlantic Canada high-pressure ridge was weaker than predicted, a Thanksgiving Monday washout would have been possible for southern

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