The long-range winter outlook maps are out, and for the Northeast the story will hinge on storm tracks, brief blasts of cold, and timing more than any single snowfall number.

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released its 2025–26 winter outlook late last week, noting a weak La Niña to start the season that is likely to fade to a neutral pattern later.

That setup typically nudges the storm track north, favoring a milder, drier South and cooler, wetter conditions farther north.

NOAA emphasizes that these are seasonal probabilities, not a day‑to‑day forecast.

For temperatures, much of the southern and eastern United States leans warmer, including portions of the coastal Mid‑Atlantic.

Many interior Northeast locations carry an “equal chances” designation, meaning similar odds of above‑, ne

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