Tropical Storm Melissa is poised to strengthen into a hurricane as it moves through the Caribbean, with forecasters warning of significant impacts for several islands. The storm is currently located about 300 miles southeast of Jamaica and is producing sustained winds of 50 mph. It is expected to reach hurricane strength within the next few days, potentially becoming a major hurricane by early next week.
Melissa is moving at a slow pace of 2 mph, which raises concerns about prolonged heavy rainfall and severe flooding in the region. The storm is projected to bring 5 to 10 inches of rain to southern Haiti, the southern Dominican Republic, and eastern Jamaica through Saturday. In some areas, rainfall could reach as high as 30 inches, leading to life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, particularly in steep terrain.
A hurricane watch is currently in effect for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti, while a tropical storm watch has been issued for Jamaica. The National Hurricane Center has indicated that the storm poses an extreme risk to lives and property in the Caribbean, with the potential for catastrophic flooding.
Forecasters have noted that the storm's track could vary significantly. One scenario suggests that Melissa may drift out to sea east of the Bahamas, while another possibility brings it closer to the U.S. East Coast before veering away. However, the risk of direct impacts on the U.S. mainland remains low, according to meteorologists.
Despite the uncertainty surrounding its path, experts emphasize the need for residents in affected areas to remain vigilant. "There is significant uncertainty in the track and intensity forecast of Melissa," said a forecaster from the National Hurricane Center. "Those with interests in Hispaniola and Cuba should monitor the storm's progress."
As the Atlantic hurricane season continues until November 30, Melissa is the first named storm of the season to reach the Caribbean. The storm's slow movement and potential for rapid intensification have raised alarms among meteorologists, who warn that it could lead to a humanitarian crisis if it stalls over populated areas, leaving many in need of essential resources such as food and clean water.