Miami Hurricanes quarterback Carson Beck (11) looks for a passing option against the Louisville Cardinals during the third quarter at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Oct. 17.

The Stanford Cardinal (3-4, 2-2 ACC) and No. 9 Miami Hurricanes (5-1, 1-1) meet Saturday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NCAA football odds around the Stanford vs. Miami odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions for the best bets.

Stanford stunned the Florida State Seminoles Saturday, earning a 20–13 road victory as a 17.5-point underdog while the Under (55) comfortably hit. The Cardinal sealed the upset with a dramatic goal-line stand on the final play. They pulled it off despite losing starting QB Ben Gulbranson to injury late in the second quarter. Backup Elijah Brown managed the offense efficiently, while RB Cole Tabb powered the ground attack with 118 yards and a touchdown.

Miami suffered its first loss of the season Saturday, falling 24–21 to the Louisville Cardinals despite entering as a 10.5-point home favorite. The Under 49.5 hit as the Hurricanes’ offense sputtered, particularly in the run game, which mustered just 63 total yards. QB Carson Beck endured his toughest outing of the year with 4 interceptions, though he found a bright spot in wideout Malachi Toney, who hauled in 9 receptions for 135 yards.

These schools have never met in their history.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Stanford at Miami name odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Not offered
  • Against the spread (ATS): Stanford +29.5 (-110) | Miami -29.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Stanford at Miami picks and predictions

Prediction

Miami 32, Stanford 13

Moneyline

PASS.

This is such a mismatch that they are not offering a moneyline. Lets take a look at the spread for a wager.

Against the spread

BET STANFORD +29.5 (-110).

Miami enters this matchup fresh off a stunning 24–21 loss to unranked Louisville, a defeat that ended a 10-game home winning streak and raised new concerns about the offense. Beck threw 4 interceptions in that setback and now has 6 picks over his last 3 games. While the Hurricanes still field one of the ACC’s most complete defenses — first in scoring defense, top-3 against both the run and pass — the offense hasn’t consistently overwhelmed opponents. Miami has failed to cover in 6 of its last 9 games as a double-digit favorite, losing outright twice in that span.

Stanford, meanwhile, is trending upward after upsetting Florida State on the road last week. The Cardinal have not lost by 30 or more at any point this season, and their ability to slow games down gives them a realistic shot to stay within the number. Stanford ranks third in the ACC in time of possession and is leaning heavily on a physical ground attack led by Tabb, who earned conference rookie of the week honors. That style shortens games, limits possessions and makes a 29.5-point underdog far more dangerous.

Stanford’s defense isn’t elite, but it’s inside the national top-100 in scoring defense and has held every opponent closer than this spread. If the Cardinal can finish a couple of those long drives with touchdowns — not field goals — they’ll keep Miami from running away.

The Hurricanes are still the likely winner at home, but this line is simply too inflated for a Stanford team that battles and bleeds the clock. Take the points.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 45.5 (-115).

Both teams bring clear limitations offensively, and the matchup sets up for a slower, controlled pace. Stanford has finished Under the total in each of its last 2 games and has yet to score more than 20 points this season against a Power 4 opponent. Quarterback uncertainty only increases the likelihood that the Cardinal lean heavily on the run game and clock management.

Miami’s recent trends point the same direction. 4 of the Hurricanes’ last 5 contests have stayed Under, and they haven’t topped 49 points since a September win over South Florida. Their offense — led by Beck — has been inconsistent, and the Hurricanes are unlikely to stretch this into a runaway shootout.

If Stanford is covering nearly 30 points, that means its defense is keeping Miami’s scoring in check. With both teams playing at a deliberate tempo and the Hurricanes owning one of the ACC’s best defenses, points should be at a premium.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Stanford Cardinal at Miami Hurricanes odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Drew Phelps, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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