Week 8 of the NFL season wraps up on Monday night with the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Washington Commanders at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. With second-year quarterback Jayden Daniels sidelined by injury, veteran Marcus Mariota will make his third start of the year for Washington, giving Kliff Kingsbury’s offense an experienced hand under center.

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET, with Kansas City entering as an 11.5-point favorite and Dimers’ model giving the Chiefs an 84% chance to win after 10,000 simulations . Patrick Mahomes is projected for 273 passing yards as Kansas City looks to extend its AFC West lead, while Mariota is expected to rely on Terry McLaurin and Deebo Samuel to move the chains. Dimers’ data suggests a 29-18 Chiefs victory , but identifies the Commanders mo

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