It’s no secret that New York state can get quite cold from November through January, but a recent seasonal outlook reveals that there is a chance it may not be as cold as usual.

A seasonal temperature outlook issued on Oct. 16 by the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center shows the entirety of New York has a 33% to 40% probability of above-average temperatures predominantly characterizing the months of November, December and January.

Meteorological winter does not begin until Dec. 1, meaning that this outlook includes the end of fall and the first two months of winter.

For the Central Park area, the mean average temperatures for November, December and January are 48, 39.1 and 33.7 degrees, respectively, according to National Oceanic and Astmospheric Administration data

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