Every fall, we get a college football weekend that looks solid on paper and turns out spectacular because, oh look, there are lots of ranked teams on the road! The first Saturday of November offers a trio of ranked-versus-ranked games, but it also gives us 10 other ranked teams leaving home. All are favored, but there's only a 9% chance they all win, per SP+. On average, three will lose.

Sure, some road teams -- Notre Dame (at Boston College), Memphis (at Rice), Indiana (at a flagging Maryland) -- are probably safer than others, but the distribution of upsets will have a huge impact on a College Football Playoff race that is about to pick up steam. It is November, after all, and the first CFP rankings come out next week. It would hurt quite a bit to stumble before the race really gets g

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