Oregon quarterback Dante Moore throws a pass before the game as the Oregon Ducks host the Wisconsin Badgers at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Oregon.

The No. 6 Oregon Ducks (7-1, 4-1 Big Ten) and No. 24 Iowa Hawkeyes (6-2, 4-1) meet Saturday at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NCAA football odds around the Oregon vs. Iowa odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions for the best bets.

Oregon made it 2 straight wins with a 21-7 victory over the Wisconsin Badgers Oct. 25, though it failed to cover as a 31-point home favorite. The Under (44.5) easily hit in a rain-soaked matchup. QB Dante Moore threw for just 86 yards before leaving in the third quarter with a facial injury. The Ducks leaned on RB Jordon Davison, who powered through for 102 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Iowa extended its winning streak to 3 games with a dominant 41-3 victory over the Minnesota Golden Gophers Oct. 25, covering as a 7.5-point home favorite. The Over (39) cashed as the Hawkeyes controlled both sides of the ball. QB Mark Gronowski accounted for 2 touchdowns — 1 rushing and 1 passing — while Iowa’s defense smothered the Gophers, holding them to just 133 total yards and forcing 3 turnovers.

These 2 teams have never met in their history.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Oregon at Iowa odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Oregon -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Iowa +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Oregon -6 (-115) | Iowa +6 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Oregon at Iowa picks and predictions

Prediction

Oregon 20, Iowa 17

Moneyline

PASS.

I don't mind a small bet on the Iowa (+200) moneyline here, but I'll play it safe getting the points at home. This will not be an easy game for Oregon. I'll take my wager to the spread.

Against the spread

I’ll be honest — I love the Hawkeyes in this spot. Getting +6 at home feels like too much against an Oregon team that hasn’t looked sharp when tested. Iowa’s style is tailor-made to frustrate a team like the Ducks — methodical, physical and disciplined. RB Kamari Moulton and the offensive line will control the tempo and chew up the clock, keeping Oregon’s explosive offense watching from the sidelines.

Gronowski has been a revelation for this Iowa offense. He’s tough as nails, makes smart throws and can hurt defenses with his legs — already racking up 11 rushing touchdowns this season. His poise in the red zone has been key to Iowa averaging more than 30 points per game while the defense allows just 14. That defense, by the way, ranks top 5 nationally in both scoring and total yards allowed.

Oregon’s offense is dangerous, but the Ducks haven’t faced a defense this organized or a road environment like Kinnick Stadium. And let’s not forget — this is their third straight road game. Fatigue, weather and noise could all play a role. Iowa hasn’t lost at home since last season and is 5-1 ATS in its last 6.

The betting trends, the matchup and the setting all line up perfectly. I’m taking IOWA +6 (-105) — and honestly, I wouldn’t be shocked if it pulled the outright upset.

Over/Under

I’m riding with the UNDER 42.5 (-115). Both teams are built on defense and clock control — that’s not a recipe for fireworks. Iowa loves to run the ball and grind out possessions, while Oregon’s secondary has been elite at shutting down big plays. The Ducks haven’t cracked 21 points in 3 of their last 4, and Kinnick Stadium games tend to turn into slugfests.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Oregon Ducks at Iowa Hawkeyes odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Drew Phelps, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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