In a 5-round welterweight bout in the main event, Gabriel Bonfim and Randy Brown meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 264 -- also known as UFC Vegas 111 and UFC on ESPN+ 122 -- at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. The prelims begin at 4 p.m. ET, followed by the main card at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's UFC odds around the UFC Fight Night 264: Bonfim vs. Brown odds , and make our expert UFC picks and predictions .

Records : Bonfim (18-1-0) | Brown (20-6-0)

Bonfim takes the walk to the octagon at a severe disadvantage. Brown holds a 5.5-inch reach advantage, and the difference in significant strikes landed per minute is negligible. Bonfim has a 4.54 mark in the category, while Brown checks in at 4.47. Brown is slightly more accurate on those strikes at 50.

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