Finance and National Revenue Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne is applauded by members of the Liberal party as he delivers the federal budget speech on Nov. 4, 2025.

The federal government is expecting the budget to pass a final confidence test by a slim majority Monday as Liberals work behind the scenes to corral enough opposition votes to avert an election.

A senior Liberal told The Globe and Mail Sunday that Prime Minister Mark Carney does not have the votes at this point to win a confidence vote.

But the official said the Liberals are confident that some members of the three opposition parties will blink. There is no appetite for an election in the country and none of the parties have assembled election-readiness teams, the official added.

Two NDP sources told The Globe that

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