Prime Minister Mark Carney’s government faces a decisive moment when Canada’s House of Commons votes Monday on a proposed budget that would increase borrowing to ramp up spending on the military and infrastructure.

The vote is considered a matter of confidence, meaning that if the government loses, it would almost certainly trigger an election. Carney’s Liberal Party caucus holds 170 seats, two short of a majority.

As of Monday morning, it wasn’t clear how all 173 opposition members would vote. Elizabeth May, the Green Party’s sole elected lawmaker, told the Canadian Broadcasting Corp. that “right now, I’m a no” on the budget. But she left the door open to changing her mind.

“I’m in a dilemma, obviously, and I’m still talking to ministers and representatives from the prime minister’s of

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