Wicked: For Good is arriving with the kind of tailwind most sequels only dream about. This review zeroes in on the film’s box office prospects and the concrete tracking on the board—because right now, the conversation is as much about records as it is about reprises. Industry tracking pegs opening weekend performance anywhere from $140 million to the mid–$170 million, with several models suggesting a clean shot at 2025’s best bow. Below, we break down the ranges, rival titles, and every hard number on the table.

What the models say (and the records at stake)

On November 20, 2025, Shawn Robbins published a Box Office Theory weekend forecast placing Wicked: For Good in a BOT Domestic Weekend Forecast Range of $155–177 million , with “Traditional Industry Tracking” at $120 million+

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