New York Giants at New England Patriots best prop bets for Monday Night Football

New York Giants quarterback Jaxson Dart (6) rushes the ball against the Chicago Bears during the second half at Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois.

The New York Giants (2-10) and the New England Patriots (10-2) meet Monday in Week 13 at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's Giants vs. Patriots odds and tab the 5 best prop bets to win among SportsbookWire's expert NFL picks and predictions for Week 13.

The Giants put up a strong fight but dropped their sixth straight game in Week 12, falling 34-27 in overtime to the Detroit Lions after putting up a strong fight. They did cover as 14-point road underdogs as the Over (50) cashed. QB Jameis Winston threw for 366 yards with 2 TDs and 1 INT, connecting with WR Wan’Dale Robinson 9 times for 156 yards and a score.

The Patriots stretched their winning streak to 9 in Week 12, edging the Cincinnati Bengals 26-20 in a closer-than-expected matchup. They didn’t cover as 7.5-point road favorites as the Under (51.5) hit. QB Drake Maye turned in a mixed outing with 294 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. TE Hunter Henry had a big day with 115 yards and a score on 7 catches.

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Giants at Patriots prop bets

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 7:43 p.m. ET.

Giants RB Tyrone Tracy OVER 2.5 RECEPTIONS (-125)

Tracy has quietly become a steady part of the Giants’ passing game, especially since RB Cam Skattebo went down. He’s drawn 3+ targets in 4 of his last 5 games and has caught at least 3 passes in 3 of his last 4. New England’s defense also funnels production to running backs through the air — they’ve allowed the second-most RB receptions this season. With Tracy’s WR background and expanded role under interim coach Mike Kafka, he’s set up for another active night as a receiver.

MNF: Best ML, ATS and O/U bets

Giants QB Jaxson Dart ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN (+320)

I’ve got a feeling Dart finds the end zone on the ground Monday night. Before the concussion in Week 10, he had rushing TDs in 5 straight games—and 2 in the game he got hurt. Now he finally gets back on the field, and New England has already given up 3 rushing TDs to QBs this season. With the Patriots bringing pressure at a 38.3% rate, Dart should be forced into scramble lanes, especially near the goal line. At these odds, I’m absolutely taking a shot on him to score.

Patriots RB TreVeyon Henderson OVER 2.5 RECEPTIONS (-118)

This seems like a gimmie on Monday night. Even with RB Rhamondre Stevenson back, Henderson still handled 65% of the snaps, got 18 carries, and saw 4 targets — clear lead-back usage that includes passing downs. He’s hit 3+ catches in 4 of his last 7 games and has been trending up as a receiver for 2 straight weeks. The Giants also help the case: they’ve allowed at least 3 RB receptions in 8 of 10 games. Everything points to Henderson clearing this number.

Giants TE Theo Johnson OVER 29.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)

Johnson’s been steadily carving out a bigger role, posting receiving lines of 77, 36, and 75 yards in his last 3 games. The volume is there too — at least 4 targets in 4 straight games. And this matchup sets up perfectly: New England is giving up 63 receiving yards per game to tight ends, and a TE has hit this number in 6 straight weeks. This feels like another spot where Johnson stays involved and gets home.

Patriots WR Demario Douglas OVER 14.5 RECIVING YARDS (-115)

Douglas hasn’t had the season a lot of people expected, mostly because WR Stefon Diggs’ arrival pushed him into a smaller role. But 14.5 receiving yards is simply too low. Douglas has gone over this number every week since Week 4 and is averaging 30.8 yards per game. He doesn’t need much to get there, either — he’s a possession receiver who catches a high percentage of his targets and averages 10+ yards per target, meaning 1 or 2 grabs usually does the job.

The matchup helps, too. The Giants are giving up 166.8 receiving yards per game to WRs, fifth-most in the league. And if you want to double dip, his Longest Catch prop 11.5 (-115) is another strong look — he’s hit that in 7 straight games.

This line is simply too low for his usage and efficiency.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: New York Giants at New England Patriots best prop bets for Monday Night Football

Reporting by Drew Phelps, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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