Texas Tech Red Raiders quarterback Behren Morton (2) celebrates after defeating the West Virginia Mountaineers at Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown, West Virginia.

The No. 11 BYU Cougars (11-1, 8-1 Big 12) meet the No. 6 Texas Tech Red Raiders (11-1, 8-1) Saturday in the Big 12 Championship Game. Kickoff from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, is at noon ET (ABC). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NCAA football odds around the BYU vs. Texas Tech odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions for the best bets.

Texas Tech gave BYU its only loss in a 29-7 home win on Nov. 8 as 13.5-point favorites with the Under (50.5) cashing. BYU was held to just 67 rushing yards and turned the ball over 3 times. Texas Tech K Stone Harrington made 5 field goals.

Since then, the Cougars closed out the regular season with 3 straight wins, beating the UCF Knight 41-21 as 17.5-point home favorites on Saturday with the Over (47) cashing.

The Red Raiders closed out the regular season with 5 straight wins, beating the West Virginia Mountaineers 49-0 on the road on Saturday as 24-point favorites with the Under (53) cashing.

A win for either team will lock in a berth in the College Football Playoff. In the latest CFP rankings, Texas Tech is No. 4 and BYU No. 11. A BYU loss likely drops them out of making the playoff, while a Texas Tech loss would leave things up to the fate of the committee.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

Watch NCAA football on Fubo!

BYU vs. Texas Tech odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): BYU +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Texas Tech -550 (bet $550 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): BYU +12.5 (-105) | Texas Tech -12.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

BYU vs. Texas Tech picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas Tech 27, BYU 20

Moneyline

It's going to be tough to believe in a BYU upset after the Red Raiders dominated in their meeting last month. Texas Tech held opponents under 10 points in 4 of their final 5 games. Opponents reached 20 points only twice in conference play.

Even scoring only 7 points against Texas Tech, BYU averaged 30.8 points per game in conference play.

But the defensive domination by Texas Tech is too much to believe there will be an upset. The Red Raiders should win the championship, but -550 odds do not make for a bet worth making when better value is had with the spread.

PASS.

Against the spread

While the Red Raiders beat the Cougars by 22 in their regular-season matchup, beating an opponent twice in a college football season, especially twice in 4 weeks, is always a challenge.

BYU's offense was great all season, and its defense held the Red Raiders to their second-lowest scoring game in conference play.

BET BYU +12.5 (-105).

Over/Under

Their regular-season meeting only had 36 total points. Four of the Red Raiders' final 6 games did not reach 50 total points. Six of 9 conference games did not reach 50. Five of BYU's conference games did reach 50.

So expect a tightly contested game with neither team scoring 30.

BET UNDER 49.5 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Duke / Florida / Florida State / Georgia / Iowa / Kentucky / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / UCLA / USC / Washington / Wisconsin / College Sports Wire / High School / Recruiting

This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Jess Root, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect