It’s not hyperbole to say the Detroit Lions saved their season with a Thursday night win over the Dallas Cowboys. Had they lost that game, their only likely path to the postseason would be to finish the year going 4-0 against a moderately tough schedule. Instead, the Lions have a little wiggle room. Detroit can likely finish the year 3-1 and still make the playoffs—provided that loss doesn’t come against the Chicago Bears.

But just how likely is it for Detroit to accomplish that and make their third-straight postseason? Let’s take a look at some playoff prediction models, and see how much the Lions’ probabilities changed from last week.

Note: FTN Fantasy and ESPN data is not yet updated with the “Monday Night Football” results, but percentages aren’t likely to change much based on the Ea

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