ORLANDO, Fla. – I’ll never say never when it comes to the weather, but a visit from Erin in Florida is unlikely.

I want to first be clear about something. I’m not suggesting Erin has a shot to come to Florida, however, social media has lit up the narrative that early model forecasts for the Erin and Irma were similar. Irma didn’t turn in 2017. The question asked is will Erin turn like models suggest.

There are differences in the models and steering between the two storms.

If you’re not familiar, Hurricane Irma made landfall in the Florida Keys and then again on Marco Island in 2017. Irma Track

Most forecasts had Irma making a turn before the Florida peninsula.

Models greatly underestimated the strength of the steering Bermuda high. The projection was for a much weaker high pressur

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