Hurricane Erin burst into the record books at the start of the weekend by becoming one of the fastest growing tropical systems. It ramped to a rare Category 5 hurricane on Saturday afternoon (while just a Cat 1 on Friday)! On Sunday, Erin weakened much of the day. Then, just as Sunday ended, the last advisory had it re-intensifying yet again.

It’s typical for these systems to have fluctuations, since it undergoes changes in the atmosphere as it moves along. The National Hurricane Center has often been able to forecast these differences so far with Erin. So, what’s ahead? The track is largely unchanged and models are in relatively good consensus that Hurricane Erin will continue to turn northward, Monday and Tuesday. As such, the center will likely remain east of the Bahamas in the short r

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