MIAMI — No disturbance in the Atlantic looks like it will pose a threat to Florida or the Caribbean anytime soon, giving the state a bit of breathing room as Hurricane Erin leaves the region on its northern path.

On Thursday, the National Hurricane Center once again upped the chances that the nearest disturbance could develop into a tropical depression this weekend as it approaches the easternmost Caribbean islands. As of the 8 a.m. update, the system had a 70% chance of developing in the next seven days and a 40% chance in the next two days.

The same mass of cool air that should bring welcoming fall-like temperatures to most of the U.S. in the next few days (not Florida, sorry) is expected to help steer any would-be storm that does form out to sea, , a similar L-shaped forecast track to

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