Updated at 9:30 a.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 28, 2025

A hostile pall is descending over the tropics, which should limit any significant development for the next week or two or so. Dust and dry air, an unsupportive upper-wind regime and higher-than-normal air pressure over the tropical belt should limit development between Africa and the Caribbean.

The National Hurricane Center is painting a low-probability potential development area for a disturbance forecast to move off the African coast late in the weekend. It’s going to have tough sledding once it’s over the ocean but could conceivably find a conducive enough patch of atmosphere to become a tropical depression. There is no indication of it threatening land at this point.

So systems can spin up in this type of environment, but it's not l

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