Like the location of bread in a Costco, the weather is never the same from week to week. Fortunately, as we approach the halfway point of hurricane season 2025, the main source of excitement in life thus far this year has been new items at the Costco food court, rather than storm threats.

The can pyramid I make from the LaCroix I drink while writing tropical forecasts – already suitable for providing a pharaoh with ample sparkling waters for the afterlife at this time last year – would be humiliating to even a mediocre vizier in September 2025, much less a grand vizier.

However, unlike last week, the Atlantic is not devoid of features worth watching. The key area of interest today is a tropical wave in the Atlantic’s Main Development Region about 1,500 miles east of the Lesser Antilles.

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