New York City Mayor Eric Adams' chances of getting reelected have slipped to their lowest point since April with online betting platform Polymarket.

Newsweek reached out to Adams' campaign via email Friday night for comment.

Why It Matters

The combination of polling and wagering data has amplified debate over whether trailing candidates should exit to consolidate anti-Zohran Mamdani votes. Political scientists and campaign strategists say a narrower field could materially change head-to-head dynamics, but market odds and multiple polls suggest Mamdani, a Democratic New York state assemblyman, leads a fractured field.

Market-based probabilities and public-opinion polls provide different but complementary signals about an election.

Polls show Mamdani with pluralities in multi-candidat

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