The Phillies have a commanding lead in the NL East and appear to be all but assured not only a berth into the postseason, but also a first-round bye into the NL Divisional Round.

Things remain fluid, and scoreboard watching should be part of every Phillies fan's routine for the remaining two and a half weeks of regular season baseball. It's entirely possible they finish with the best record in the majors this year. But they have to keep winning.

Here's an update on where things currently stand and a look at some potential scenarios:

Clinching a playoff berth

The Phillies have a magic number of five to officially punch a ticket into the playoff bracket. The Reds and Giants (more on both in a second) each trail the Phillies by 14.5 games with 16 left to play. Philly needs to either win f

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