On paper, this week's Thursday Night Football game between the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins is a major mismatch. The difference in the teams is so vast, in fact, that even the point spread (the Bills are 12-point favorites) only begins to explain the gulf between the AFC East rivals.

SportsLine's Inside the Lines team and projection model have crunched the numbers on Thursday's game at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y., as well as every game for the rest of the season. The simulations say that Josh Allen and Buffalo (2-0) enter Week 3 with a 99.9% chance of reaching the postseason. With a victory over Miami, that number would improve to 100.0%, and with a loss, that figure would drop to just 99.3%.

In addition, the Dolphins (0-2) have a 9.5% chance of reaching the playoffs

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