Break out the pumpkin spice but hold off on those heavy sweaters. The National Weather Service says New York is likely in for a warmer-than-usual fall, even as the calendar insists summer is behind us.

While the Old Farmer’s Almanac predicted a cooler, drier October, federal meteorologists are throwing cold water on that claim. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which oversees the NWS, reports a 40- to 50-percent chance of above-average temperatures for the Northeast through November. Translation: more lingering iced coffees and fewer urgent jacket dashes.

But don’t expect forecasters to get too specific. As NWS meteorologist Bryan Ramsey explained, “It’s much more difficult to predict climate swings versus the day-to-day weather,” Ramsey told Gothamist

See Full Page