TCU Horned Frogs quarterback Josh Hoover (10) throws the ball during the first half against the SMU Mustangs at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas.

The No. 25 TCU Horned Frogs (3-0, 0-0 Big 12) and Arizona State Sun Devils (3-1, 1-0) square off in a conference battle Friday. Kickoff from Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, Arizona, is set for 9 p.m. ET (FOX). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NCAA football odds around the TCU vs. Arizona State odds and make our expert college football picks and predictions for the best bets.

The Horned Frogs haven't had the most impressive resume so far this season, but they have yet to lose and are 2-1 against the spread (ATS). TCU is coming off a 35-24 home win over the SMU Mustangs, covering as a 6.5-point favorite. QB Josh Hoover throttled SMU, throwing for 379 yards, 254 of which were to WR Eric McAlister, and 5 touchdowns, 3 of which were McAlister.

While TCU barely found its way into the coaches poll, Arizona State had the most votes of any team not ranked as a top-25 side. The Sun Devils defeated the Baylor Bears 27-24 on the road in Week 4, covering as a 3-point underdog. Their lone loss of the season was a 24-20 Week 2 road defeat to the Mississippi State Bulldogs. Arizona State is 2-2 ATS.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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TCU at Arizona State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:17 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): TCU +125 (Bet $100 to win $125) | Arizona State -150 (Bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): TCU +3 (-110) | Arizona State -3 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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TCU at Arizona State picks and predictions

Prediction

TCU 27, Arizona State 21

Moneyline

BET TCU (+125).

The Horned Frogs could be the real deal. Earlier in the season, the Bulldogs bested Arizona State because of the passing game, throwing for 279 yards in the win. TCU is a pass-first offense behind Hoover and should be able to exploit that weakness. Of note, in TCU's lone road game this season, it walloped the North Carolina Tar Heels 48-14.

Also, what Arizona State does best is run the ball, and TCU should be in a good position to limit that. The Horned Frogs rank 17th in the country, allowing just 2.6 yards per carry. The Sun Devils sit 14th in rush-play percentage (62.39%). Combine those together, and it is a perfect storm for the Horned Frogs. Take TCU (+125).

Against the spread

PASS.

While you could get a field goal to take TCU to cover instead of to win outright, the preferred odds are on the moneyline.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 55.5 (-115).

The Sun Devils run the clock and also know how to defend. They, as noted above, love to keep the ball on the ground. At the same time, they have yet to allow more than 24 points in a game and are 1-3 O/U on the year.

TCU has a lightning-fast offense, but they have yet to really be challenged, which should come on the road Friday night. Hoover managed sub-300 yards in 3 of 5 road conference games last season. Considering those trends, take UNDER 55.5 (-115).

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: TCU Horned Frogs at Arizona State Sun Devils odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Nathan Beighle, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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