It’s been a pretty dull Atlantic hurricane season thus far (which is just fine). We currently have two named storms, Gabrielle and Humberto, way out in the middle of the Atlantic — as most systems have done this season.
We’re watching an area that the National Hurricane Center gives a 90% chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 7 days, and a 70% chance in the next 48 hours.
This cluster of clouds and thunderstorms, sandwiched between Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic, could become Imelda this weekend.
There are a couple of variables that are playing in favor of a named storm: lack of shear and very warm ocean waters. First, the water:
It should come as no surprise that all of the Gulf, Caribbean, and development region of the Atlantic continue to be warmer than normal. Th