The Green Bay Packers (2-1) and the Dallas Cowboys (1-2) meet for Sunday Night Football at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's Packers vs. Cowboys odds and tab the 5 best prop bets to win among SportsbookWire's expert NFL picks and predictions for Week 4.
The major headline from this game will be the return of LB Micah Parsons to Dallas, after he was shipped from the Cowboys to the Packers in the preseason after a contract standoff. However, this is a big game for Green Bay, as it looks to rebound from a disappointing 13-10 loss at Cleveland last week despite being 7.5-point favorites.
The Cowboys defense has struggled badly without Parsons, and it likely wouldn't be dramatically better with him. They've allowed 34.0 points per game (PPG) in the past 2 games, and at least 24 points in all 3 outings. The Dallas pass defense has allowed 900 yards through the air and 7 TDs with just 1 INT, and it allows an NFL-worst 9.8 yards per pass attempt. The Cowboys have allowed 13 pass plays of 20 or more yards, and and NFL-high 6 pass plays of 40+ yards. The next worst teams (Commanders, Raiders, Saints) have allowed 3 pass plays of 40+ yards.
Green Bay had scored 27 points in each of the first 2 games in home wins over the Detroit Lions in Week 1 (27-13) and 27-18 over the Washington Commanders (27-18) on Thursday Night Football in Week 2. The Under has cashed in all 3 games for the Packers.
The Packers will have T Anthony Belton (ankle) and OL Zach Tom (oblique) sidelined, so the offensive line takes a hit. G Aaron Banks (groin) is also doubtful. WR Jayden Reed is also on the short-term Reserve/Injured list, and out.
For the Cowboys, WR CeeDee Lamb (ankle) is not expected to play, which is a huge loss for a Dallas offense already struggling a bit. The good news is that DB DaRon Bland (foot) is expected to return after a 2-game absence, a much needed add for a bad defense.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Best Packers at Cowboys prop bets
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:59 p.m. ET.
Packers QB Jordan Love OVER 238.5 PASSING YARDS (-115)
Again, the Cowboys are No. 32 in pass defense, so if the Packers don't air it out early and often, they're foolish. Dallas is allowing nearly 10 yards per pass attempt, and while the return of Bland will help, those numbers aren't changing dramatically anytime soon.
While Reed is out for the Packers, Love has really developed a nice rapport with rookie WR Matthew Golden, and WR Romeo Doubs is still in the mix, as is TE Tucker Kraft.
Love threw for 292 yards against the Commanders in his only previous game under the lights this season. He should flirt with 250-300 yards against the beleaguered Cowboys.
Cowboys QB Dak Prescott OVER 0.5 INTERCEPTIONS (-165)
I don't love the chalk you have to eat here, but Prescott is a good bet to get coaxed into at least 1 miscue.
Prescott was picked off once by the Giants in Week 2, and he tossed a pair of INTs in Chicago last Sunday. The Packers passing defense ranks No. 1 with just 4.8 yards per pass allowed, and it's going to be a slow-go for Dak and the Cowboys through the air. Green Bay has forced just 2 INTs so far, but it also has 10 sacks. The pass rush should force Prescott to get happy feet and do something risky and dumb, at least once.
Packers TE Tucker Kraft LONGEST RECEPTION - UNDER 19.5 YARDS (-120)
Kraft is 6-foot-5 and 259 pounds, so speed isn't a giant concern with the former South Dakota State Jackrabbit. Still, he did shake free for a 57-yard reception and 124 yards with a TD against the Commanders in Week 2 on Thursday night.
However, all of his other catches are for 18 or fewer yards. While the Dallas passing defense has been pathetic, Kraft is not going to be the downfield threat. If anything, Golden or Doubs will have the long pass receptions. Kraft can pick up yardage in chunks, but don't look for a pass play of 20 or more yards, even if Dallas gives up plenty of them.
Cowboys RB Javonte Williams ANYTIME TD SCORER (+145)
The Cowboys are going to have a difficult time through the air, especially with Lamb nursing an ankle injury and sitting out.
Someone has to score for the Cowboys, and the best bet is Williams down around the goal line. He didn't score in Week 3 in Chicago, but he has 3 rushing TDs through the first 3 games. Green Bay has allowed just 1 rushing TD so far, but Williams should add to that total.
WIN YOUR FANTASY FOOTBALL LEAGUE! The Huddle has been turning players like you into winners for over 25 years. This season, it's your turn. Custom fantasy football rankings, sleepers and tools are just a click away. Subscribe now!
Cowboys PK Brandon Aubrey OVER 6.5 POINTS (-125)
The kicking props streak continues into Week 4! If you've followed along this season, you know that's how we like to close around here.
Aubrey is about as dependable as it gets. He has a bionic leg, and anything inside 60 yards is on the table. The former soccer player is perfect on field goals (8-for-8), including 4 makes from 50+. He has managed 8 points in Week 1, 16 points in Week 2 and just 6 points in Week 3.
Again, the Pack defense is stout, and it wouldn't be shocking to see Aubrey hit multiple field goals, and getting to 8 points shouldn't be a problem.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @danieledobish on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Access more NFL coverage:
TheHuddle Fantasy Football | BearsWire | BengalsWire | BillsWire | BroncosWire | BrownsWire | BucsWire | CardsWire | ChargersWire | ChiefsWire | ColtsWire | CommandersWire | CowboysWire | DolphinsWire | EaglesWire | FalconsWire | GiantsWire | JaguarsWire | JetsWire | LionsWire | NinersWire | PackersWire | PanthersWire | PatriotsWire | RaidersWire | RamsWire | RavensWire | SaintsWire | SeahawksWire | SteelersWire | TexansWire | TitansWire | VikingsWire | DraftWire | TouchdownWire | ListWire
This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys best prop bets for Sunday Night Football
Reporting by Daniel Dobish, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire
USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect