ORLANDO, Fla. – As of the 2 p.m. Sunday tropical outlook from the National Hurricane Center, Invest 98L continues to show signs of organization. 2 P.M.

The chances of this tropical wave developing into a named storm—potentially Melissa—are increasing. There is now a 30% chance of development within the next 48 hours and a 70% chance over the next 7 days.

Tropical models show some agreement on the wave moving into the central Caribbean, but after that, confidence remains low regarding its future track. Invest 98L

Atmospheric conditions appear favorable for further organization as the system moves across the Caribbean Sea, and a tropical depression could form sometime this week.

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