Updated at 10:45 a.m. ET on Monday, Oct. 27, 2025
Hurricane Melissa is an extraordinary Category 5 hurricane. Its high-confidence track will take the center ashore on Jamaica's southwest coast tomorrow morning. Melissa could go through an eyewall replacement cycle on its path north to the Jamaican coast, which would reduce the peak winds, but it would grow the storm in size. A larger storm generally does more damage overall.
Melissa is forecast to be a strong Category 4 or a Category 5 storm at landfall – nominally at 7 a.m ET/6 a.m. local time in Jamaica.
The mountainous terrain in Jamaica will enhance the rainfall from the deep tropical moisture pumped over the island by Melissa's circulation. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting 15 to 30 inches of rain to fall, with some loca

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