Voter turnout data in Bihar have, on most occasions, mirrored the electoral fate of the state's two stalwarts - JD(U)'s Nitish Kumar and RJD's Lalu Prasad Yadav. With Bihar recording the highest-ever voter turnout in the first phase of the 2025 polls (64.66%), data from past elections reveal a fascinating trend.

This time, both the NDA and the Mahagathbandhan have claimed that the record turnout was in their favour . The claim of the Mahagathbandhan, comprising the RJD and Congress, is largely based on the trend that a higher voter turnout has often been seen as a sign of anti-incumbency. However, on some occasions, it has indicated pro-incumbency enthusiasm as well.

The second phase of elections on 122 seats is due on November 11. Results will be announced three days later.

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