(COLORADO) – As November begins, Colorado has seen above-normal temperatures and so far, no snow in sight. This warm, dry start has led some to wonder whether a late first snowfall could mean a busier winter season ahead or, conversely, a mild one. But that long-standing myth doesn’t hold up to the data.

Let’s take a look at the numbers and statistics.

On average, Denver sees its first snow on average on Oct. 18. Meanwhile, Colorado Springs see its first measurable snowfall around October 19, while Pueblo typically gets its first flakes by November 5. This year, the areas are already past both of those dates without any snow. But does that really tell us anything about what kind of winter lies ahead?

To find out, the data was pulled from snowfall records from a consecutive five-year spa

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