Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns odds, picks and predictions

Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) throws a pass as Cleveland Browns defensive tackle Maliek Collins (96) closes in at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland.

The Baltimore Ravens (4-5) and Cleveland Browns (2-7) meet Sunday for a Week 11 game at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NFL odds around the Ravens vs. Browns odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

The Ravens won 41-17 in Week 2 against the Browns, covering as 13.5-point favorites as the Over (46.5) cashed. Browns starting QB Dillon Gabriel, came off the bench in that blowout loss, throwing his first NFL TD pass in relief of QB Joe Flacco, who is now on the Cincinnati Bengals. The Browns did a good job shutting down the run game, as RB Derrick Henry ran 11 times for just 23 yards, while QB Lamar Jackson had 2 runs for 13 yards. However, the latter also threw 4 TDs. The Ravens lead the all-time series 38-15.

The Browns had a disappointing 27-20 loss on the road against the New York Jets last week as a 2-point favorite as the Over (38) cashed. The Browns allowed a kickoff return and punt return for touchdown, both in the first quarter. Gabriel threw for 167 yards and 2 TDs in the loss, while WR Jerry Jeudy had 6 grabs for 78 yards and a score.

Cleveland has dropped back-to-back games, while going 1-5 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in the past 6 outings. The Over has cashed in 3 in a row.

The Ravens topped the Minnesota Vikings on the road in Week 10, winning 27-19 as a 4.5-point favorite. They're 2-0 SU/ATS in the past 2 games since Jackson returned from a month-long hamstring injury. Baltimore has won and covered 3 in a row, while the Under is 3-1 in the past 4 outings.

Baltimore's defense struggled early on, allowing at least 37 points in 4 of the first 5 games. Since Week 6, the Ravens have allowed 19 or fewer points in 4 straight, an average of just 14.5 points per game (PPG).

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Ravens at Browns odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:59 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Ravens -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Browns +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
Against the spread: Ravens -7.5 (-110) | Browns +7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 38.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Ravens at Browns key injuries

Ravens

LB Mike Green (ankle) questionable
LB Jay Higgins (knee) out
RB Justice Hill (toe) out
CB Marlon Humphrey (finger) out

Browns

DT Maliek Collins (oblique) questionable
DE Alex Wright (quadriceps) out

Ravens at Browns picks and predictions

Prediction

Ravens 23, Browns 12

Moneyline

The Ravens (-450) will cost you 4 1/2 times your potential return, and that's way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. Even if you were to throw Baltimore into a multi-leg parlay, it would take a lot of the value out of your ticket.

PASS, and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread

Roll with the RAVENS -7.5 (-110) laying the points on the road. They're playing like the team we thought they were, now that Jackson is back healthy.

The only concern is the weather forecast, as there are winds of 20-25 MPH expected, which could mean more running than passing. That's a concern for the Baltimore offense, as Cleveland's rushing defense is top notch, while it is poor guarding the pass.

Over/Under

UNDER 38.5 (-110) is a low number, but's the play here.

The defense has been much better for the Ravens lately, while the Browns are the Browns. They have scored 17 or fewer points in 7 of 9 outings.

With winds gusting to gale force off of Lake Erie, that could keep the downfield passing and quick scores to a minimum, with teams relying more on the run. That keeps the clock moving, and scores low.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Daniel Dobish, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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