Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) warms up before the game against the Arizona Cardinals at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

The Dallas Cowboys (3-5-1) and the Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) meet Monday in Week 11 at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NFL odds around the Cowboys vs. Raiders odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

The Cowboys return from their bye looking to regroup after dropping 2 straight, including a 27-17 loss to the Arizona Cardinals in Week 9. Dallas failed to cover as a 3-point road favorite as the Under (53) hit. Three turnovers hurt, including an interception from QB Dak Prescott, who had 250 passing yards and a touchdown. RB Javonte Williams added 83 rushing yards, and WR CeeDee Lamb posted 85 receiving.

The Raiders dropped their third straight game in Week 10, falling 10-7 to the Denver Broncos, but managing to cover as 8.5-point road underdogs. The Under (42) hit with ease in the defensive slugfest. QB Geno Smith struggled, throwing for just 143 yards with an interception and taking 6 sacks. RB Ashton Jeanty scored Las Vegas’ lone touchdown while adding 60 rushing yards.

The Raiders won the last meeting in 2021 -- 36-33 in overtime -- to take the lead in the all-time series 7-6.

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Cowboys at Raiders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 10:49 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cowboys -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Raiders +154 (bet $100 to win $154)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Cowboys -3.5 (-102) | Raiders +3.5 (-118)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 50 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Best prop bets

Cowboys at Raiders key injuries

Cowboys

  • S Alijah Clark (ribs/illness) questionable
  • OT Ajani Cornelius (knee/knee) questionable
  • S Malik Hooker (toe) questionable
  • DT Solomon Thomas (calf) out
  • DT Perrion Winfrey (back) questionable

Raiders

  • QB Aidan O'Connell (wrist)

Cowboys at Raiders picks and predictions

Prediction

Cowboys 34, Raiders 21

Moneyline

PASS.

This is a must win for the Cowboys if they want any chance at making the playoffs. I like them to win comfortably on Monday night which is why I'll take my wager to the spread.

Against the spread

BET COWBOYS -3.5 (-102).

When I look at this Monday night matchup, I just don’t see how the Raiders keep up with Dallas. Smith hasn’t looked like the guy we saw in Seattle the last few years. He’s banged up, he’s throwing picks in bunches, and that 34.7 QBR pretty much tells the whole story. And Jeanty, who was supposed to be the spark in the run game, hasn’t averaged 4 yards a carry in a month. If Vegas can’t run it and can’t throw it, how exactly are they scoring enough to hang around?

Meanwhile, Dallas can still put points on the board — and that’s really what this matchup comes down to for me. The Cowboys average close to 29 per game, and Prescott has been steady, spreading the ball around to Lamb, WR George Pickens, and letting Williams do the dirty work on the ground. And honestly, against a Raiders defense that’s fallen apart against the run lately — giving up 387 rushing yards over their last 3 games — Dallas should be able to stay balanced and lean into whatever’s working.

Yes, the Cowboys’ defense has had its shaky moments, but I think this is one of those spots where they actually look good. Adding DT Quinnen Williams and LB Logan Wilson helps, and they’re facing a Raiders offense that sits near the bottom of the league in basically every important category. If Dallas’ pass rush rattles Geno even a little, it’s going to create short fields and easy points.

Both teams are well-rested, but only one can really take advantage of it. For me, this is Dallas’ game to control from the jump.

Over/Under

BET OVER 50 (-110).

The Over is the play. Dallas can score on just about anyone, and with Smith turning the ball over so much, the Cowboys could get plenty of short fields. The Raiders haven’t been great offensively, but they average 20.5 points at home — and this Dallas defense has been giving up over 30 per road game. With the Over hitting in 5 of the Cowboys’ last 6, I’m expecting points again.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Dallas Cowboys at Las Vegas Raiders odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Drew Phelps, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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