New Orleans Saints quarterback Tyler Shough (6) looks to throw downfield against the Atlanta Falcons during the second half at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana.

The New Orleans Saints (2-9) and Miami Dolphins (4-7) meet Sunday for a Week 13 matchup. Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida, is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NFL odds around the Saints vs. Dolphins odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

The Dolphins lead the all-time series 7-6, including a 20-3 victory in New Orleans in the last meeting in 2021. The last time the Saints visited South Florida in 2017 resulted in a 20-0 win, and New Orleans has won 3 of the past 4 meetings since 2009.

New Orleans lost 24-10 loss at home last Sunday to the Atlanta Falcons as a 2-point favorite as the Under (40.5) cashed. Rookie QB Tyler Shough threw for 243 yards, 0 TDs and 1 INT, while running for a team-best 22 yards. WR Chris Olave, questionable this week due to a back ailment, led the way with 9 receptions for a team-best 70 yards on 13 targets.

The Saints have dropped 5 of the past 6 games, while going just 1-5 against the spread (ATS). The Under is 6-0-1 in the past 7 games for the Saints.

Miami picked up a 16-13 win in overtime Nov. 16 in Madrid, Spain, against the Washington Commanders, cashing as 2.5-point favorites as the Under (47) cashed. RB De'Von Achane ran for 120 yards, while adding 5 receptions for 45 yards. RB Ollie Gordon II also had a rushing score.

The Dolphins have won back-to-back games, and 3 of the past 4 games, while also going 3-1 ATS with a 3-0-1 mark to the Under on totals in that 4-game span.

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Saints at Dolphins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:01 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Saints +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Dolphins -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Saints +5.5 (-105) | Dolphins -5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Saints at Dolphins key injuries

Saints

  • RB Alvin Kamara (knee, ankle) out
  • WR Chris Olave (back) questionable

Dolphins

  • CB Rasul Douglas (foot, ankle) questionable
  • OL Austin Jackson (toe) questionable
  • DT Benito Jones (ankle) questionable
  • TE Darren Waller (pectoral) questionable

Saints at Dolphins picks and predictions

Prediction

Dolphins 25, Saints 13

Moneyline

The Dolphins (-275) will cost nearly 3 times your potential return, and that's way too much risk for a 4-win team.

The Saints went to Carolina and surprised the Panthers 17-7 as a 5.5-point underdog in Week 10, so they can be dangerous, especially defensively. However, without Kamara, and potentially without Olave, New Orleans could really struggle.

PASS.

Against the spread

Back the DOLPHINS -5.5 (-115) in down in South Florida.

Again, no Kamara, so that will leave the RB1 duties in the hands of the unproven Devin Neal. In addition, Miami is back from Spain, and it is well-rested following the bye in Week 12. Both teams are relatively healthy, but the Dolphins come in on a roll. They've won 3 out of the past 4 games, while also going 3-1 ATS in that span.

Over/Under

UNDER 41.5 (-110) is a low number in this day and age of high-scoring football with quick strikes. However, both of these teams have been cashing Unders frequently, and that's the play.

The Under is 3-0-1 in the past 4 games for Miami, and 6-0-1 in the past 7 for New Orleans, with the offense averaging just 12.2 points per game on offense in the previous 6 outings.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: New Orleans Saints at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and predictions

Reporting by Daniel Dobish, Sportsbook Wire / Sportsbook Wire

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