A winter storm expected to hit New Jersey on Tuesday could drop 1 to 4 inches of snow across the northern half of the state and heavy rain to southern counties.

The storm is likely to start as snow early Tuesday and switch to rain for central New Jersey, making for a messy morning commute, the National Weather Service said.

A subtle shift in the storm’s track or timing could affect the snowfall amounts, the weather service said.

“Confidence in the snowfall forecast remains low due to uncertainty in the track of the storm,” the weather service said. “Greatest impacts from snow will be most likely near/north of I-78.”

Some spots in higher elevations of northwestern New Jersey could get 4 to 8 inches of snow, the weather service said. Snowfall rates of 1 inch per hour are possible in thos

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